Our NFL Folk newshounds convey us the most important keys to each match, and analytics essayist Seth Walder makes a daring prediction for each and every matchup. The ESPN Analysis crew supplies a tremendous stat to understand and a making a bet nugget for each and every game, moment our Soccer Energy Index (FPI) is going throughout the numbers with a match projection. Fiction analyst Eric Moody unearths untruth soccer X elements, and 3 analysts — Kalyn Kahler, Moody and Walder — give us ultimate rating choices for each match. The entirety you need to understand is right here in a single spot to aid you get able for a loaded weekend of NFL soccer.
Let’s get into the whole Pace 8 slate, together with Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa’s doable go back towards the Cardinals and the Cowboys web hosting the 49ers. All of it culminates with a “Monday Night Football” matchup between the Giants and the Steelers on ESPN. (Sport instances are Sunday except in a different way famous.)
Leap to a matchup:
PHI-CIN | BAL-CLE | TEN-DET
ARI-MIA | NYJ-NE | ATL-TB
GB-JAX | IND-HOU | NO-LAC
BUF-SEA | CAR-DEN | KC-LV
CHI-WSH | DAL-SF | NYG-PIT
Thursday: LAR 30, MIN 20
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: CIN -2.5 (47.5 O/U)
Eagles storyline to look at: The Eagles pressed for time the ball a blended 81 instances over the day two video games — 10 greater than the next-closest crew — for 385 general yards (192.5 in line with match). RB Saquon Barkley is moment to just the Ravens’ Derrick Henry in dashing yards in line with match (109.7) and is coming off a 176-yard functionality towards his former crew, the Giants. Cincinnati has yielded 136 dashing yards in line with match and has giving up the second-most dashing first downs (65). — Tim McManus
Bengals storyline to look at: Cincinnati’s offense is taking a look to rebound later a coarse couple of weeks. In back-to-back wins, the Bengals have scored touchdowns on 16.7% in their drives, which used to be part of the crew’s charge from Weeks 1 via 5. Philadelphia’s protection ranks tenth in fewest issues allowed in line with pressure. — Ben Child
Stat to understand: Since 2022, the Eagles’ A.J. Brown and Bengals’ Ja’Marr Chase are a number of the summit 4 receivers in receiving yards later touch. Chase leads with 452; Brown has 394.
Daring prediction: The Bengals will win by means of greater than seven issues. Cincinnati has by means of a ways the most productive passing offense on this match — it ranks 5th in EPA in line with dropback — and that’s probably the most notable side to dominate. Plus, I’m going to wish greater than a blowout over the Giants to be satisfied by means of the Eagles once more. — Walder
Accidents: Eagles | Bengals
Fiction X issue: Bengals QB Joe Burrow. He began the season with 8.0 untruth issues in Pace 1 towards the Patriots. Since nearest, he has averaged 21.2 untruth issues in line with match. The Eagles’ protection held Daniel Jones to five.9 issues in Pace 7 and Deshaun Watson to eight.4 in Pace 6, however it’ll face a more difficult problem towards Burrow, Chase and Tee Higgins. See Pace 8 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Eagles are 8-1 ATS of their day 9 video games when the unfold closes between plus-3 and minus-3. Learn extra.
Kahler’s pick out: Bengals 24, Eagles 20
Moody’s pick out: Eagles 31, Bengals 27
Walder’s pick out: Bengals 30, Eagles 21
FPI prediction: PHI, 55.8% (by means of a mean of one.9 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Eagles’ Barkley silences boobirds in win vs. Giants … Wholesome protection has Bengals feeling positive
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: BAL -8 (44.5 O/U)
Ravens storyline to look at: RB Derrick Henry, the NFL’s dashing chief, is going towards a Browns protection that has no longer allowed a working again to realize greater than 67 yards this season. Henry has been on a tear with 873 yards dashing, which is his maximum in his first seven video games of a season over his nine-year profession. However ultimate season, Cleveland held Henry — who used to be with the Titans — to twenty yards on 11 carries. “I know [the Browns’] record doesn’t show that, but this defense, they’re physical, [and] they fly to the ball,” Henry mentioned. — Jamison Hensley
Browns storyline to look at: Jameis Winston is taking up at quarterback for the Browns in playground of the injured Deshaun Watson (Achilles), and the trade must govern to a extra competitive passing match. Watson’s 6.9 breeze yards in line with try ranked twenty third within the NFL, moment Winston has averaged 10.1 breeze yards in line with try in his profession. That might aid to take advantage of a Ravens protection that has giving up a league-high 20 receptions of no less than 25 yards this season. — Daniel Oyefusi
Stat to understand: Ravens QB Lamar Jackson connect his single-game profession tall with 5 passing touchdowns towards the Buccaneers on Monday. He wishes 4 touchdowns to check the mark he all set in 2019 for probably the most TDs over a two-game span in franchise historical past.
Daring prediction: Winston shall be sacked no less than 5 instances however may also throw two touchdowns. I’m making a bet Cleveland’s incapability to offer with the blitz wasn’t just a Watson defect. However on the similar week, the quarterback play games must fortify with Winston. — Walder
Accidents: Ravens | Browns
Fiction X issue: Browns TE David Njoku. With Winston stepping in, it is a stunning alternative for Njoku and the passing match. Njoku had a season-high 14 goals and scored 23.6 untruth issues towards the Bengals in Pace 7. See Pace 8 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: Street favorites are 24-13 ATS this season, together with 16-2 ATS over the day 3 weeks. Learn extra.
Kahler’s pick out: Ravens 30, Browns 17
Moody’s pick out: Ravens 28, Browns 19
Walder’s pick out: Ravens 34, Browns 20
FPI prediction: BAL, 65.2% (by means of a mean of five.8 issues)
Matchup must-reads: NFL’s ideally suited offense? Jackson, Ravens on future to all set data … Browns to begin Winston at QB; Dorsey to name performs … Ravens’ Henry can split dashing listing, Lamar says … Boos, miserable play games and a time in suspicion: Within QB Watson’s windy 2024 season
Tyler Fulghum has a stunning pick out for Ravens vs. Browns
Tyler Fulghum explains why he’s taking the Browns to preserve the unfold of their Pace 9 matchup vs. the Ravens.
1 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: DET -11 (44.5 O/U)
Titans storyline to look at: The Titans’ offense will aim to determine learn how to make bigger the luck they’ve discovered on early drives to the left-overs of the sport. Tennessee has scored 44 of its 106 general issues this season inside the first 3 drives. The utmost a part of video games has been a attempt. “We’re seeing some different looks and then we’ve got to be able to adjust,” offensive coordinator Nick Holz mentioned. If Tennessee expects to win this life, it’ll need to successfully adapt as the sport is going alongside. — Turron Davenport
Lions storyline to look at: Even with a 5-1 listing, the NFC North-leading Lions aren’t taking the 1-5 Titans evenly. Tennessee has received its earlier six video games towards the Lions, and tutor Dan Campbell has instructed his crew to not succumb to a possible entice match. Detroit is getting ready to be with out WR Jameson Williams moment he serves a two-game postponed for violating the NFL’s performance-enhancing elements coverage. “[The Titans are] giving people fits, man, and they’ve had a fast start in all their games, and they just haven’t quite been able to close it out,” Campbell mentioned. — Eric Woodyard
Stat to understand: Lions WR Amon-Ra St. Brown is 11 yards clear of achieving 4,000 receiving yards. He’ll secured Calvin Johnson as the one Lions avid gamers to achieve the mark inside their first 4 seasons.
Daring prediction: The Titans is not going to rating a landing. That is the worst passing offense within the league, consistent with EPA in line with play games. Even with out DE Aidan Hutchinson (tibia/fibula), this Detroit protection must be capable to close i’m sick Tennessee. — Walder
Accidents: Titans | Lions
Fiction X issue: Lions RB Jahmyr Gibbs. He has had 15 or extra touches in 5 of his day six video games and scored 16-plus untruth issues in 5 of the ones matchups. The Lions are a number of the league leaders in RB touches, and that development must proceed. They’re double-digit favorites over the Titans, which might govern to a weighty dose of Gibbs and David Bernard Law Montgomery. See Pace 8 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Titans are 1-5 ATS this season and 0-4 ATS towards groups with profitable data. Learn extra.
Kahler’s pick out: Lions 34, Titans 14
Moody’s pick out: Lions 38, Titans 17
Walder’s pick out: Lions 30, Titans 9
FPI prediction: DET, 72.9% (by means of a mean of 9.3 issues)
Matchup must-reads: What’s subsequent for Titans later buying and selling WR Hopkins, LB Jones? … Lions WR Williams, dealing with prevent for PEDs, has Lions’ believe
1 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: MIA -3.5 (45.5 O/U)
Cardinals storyline to look at: The Cardinals are using a tall later beating the Chargers on Monday, however there’s a zeal within the cupboard room to look if they are able to put the entire items in combination for a moment immediately win. They’ve alternated losses and wins since Pace 4, so some steadiness within the win column can be welcomed. However with CBs Sean Murphy-Bunting and Max Melton out on account of neck accidents, Arizona may well be in for an extended age towards Miami’s dynamic receiving duo of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. — Josh Weinfuss
Dolphins storyline to look at: QB Tua Tagovailoa is eligible to go back for Sunday’s match and must serve an instantaneous spark to the NFL’s worst scoring offense. No less than, Hill turns out to suppose so. The league’s main receiver from a season in the past mentioned “the band is back” and instructed untruth homeowners to begin him this life — Marcel Louis-Jacques
Stat to understand: The Dolphins and Cardinals are the one groups within the NFL to have a couple of wins later trailing at first of the fourth quarter.
Daring prediction: Greater than 60 issues shall be scored. The Cardinals have one of the vital worst defenses within the NFL (twenty ninth in EPA in line with play games) and can face a Dolphins offense with Tagovailoa again. At the alternative facet, Kyler Murray has snuck as much as 5th in QBR (68.7). — Walder
Accidents: Cardinals | Dolphins
Fiction X issue: Dolphins RB De’Von Achane. Achane unearths himself in a stunning place towards a Cardinals protection that permits the seventh-most dashing yards in line with match to working backs. Be expecting him to be closely concerned as each a runner and a receiver. See Pace 8 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: Murray is 18-7-1 ATS in his profession as a street underdog. Learn extra.
Kahler’s pick out: Cardinals 24, Dolphins 21
Moody’s pick out: Dolphins 27, Cardinals 21
Walder’s pick out: Cardinals 34, Dolphins 31
FPI prediction: ARI, 51.1% (by means of a mean of 0.5 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Cardinals LB Gardeck tears ACL, to leave out left-overs of 2024 … Tua all set to observe, eyeing Dolphins go back Sunday … Conner delivers on accent, carries Cardinals to MNF win … Tua’s go back to ground ‘virtually made me shout’ — WR Hill
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: NYJ -7 (40.5 O/U)
Jets storyline to look at: Every other life, any other big-name debut. This life, it’s DE Haason Reddick, who ended his holdout and almost definitely shall be worn as a situational rusher. The Jets reinforced their roster the day two weeks with Reddick and WR Davante Adams, however this match may just come right down to QB Aaron Rodgers. He has six interceptions within the day 3 video games, probably the most in any three-game stretch in his profession. — Affluent prosperous Cimini
Patriots storyline to look at: The Patriots haven’t been swept by means of the Jets for the reason that 2000 season, which used to be Invoice Belichick’s first as head tutor. Then shedding 24-3 to the Jets in Pace 3, the Patriots are liable to having that streak snapped. Rookie QB Drake Maye, who’s making his 0.33 profession get started, has been a dazzling spot; he can grow to be the primary rookie QB with no less than 240 yards passing and two landing passes in his first 3 begins since 1950. — Mike Reiss
Stat to understand: Maye is the fourth Patriots QB to build certainly one of his first 3 profession begins towards the Jets. The former 3 (Mac Jones, Matt Cassel and Scott Zolak) all received.
Daring prediction: Reddick will listing a sack in his Jets debut. Granted, cross dashing towards the Patriots’ offensive wrinkle is taking part in the sport on simple form, but it surely must aid Reddick shake off any rust he has from his prolonged absence. — Walder
Accidents: Jets | Patriots
Fiction X issue: Jets RB Breece Corridor. The crew must incline on its playmakers, and Corridor is stepping up. He has had 18 or extra touches and scored 21 or extra untruth issues in his day two video games. The Patriots’ protection lets in the third-most untruth issues in line with match to working backs. See Pace 8 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Patriots are 0-5 ATS of their day 5 video games. Learn extra.
Kahler’s pick out: Jets 24, Patriots 20
Moody’s pick out: Jets 23, Patriots 16
Walder’s pick out: Jets 26, Patriots 10
FPI prediction: NYJ, 71.2% (by means of a mean of 8.3 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Adams: Pronunciation my means of bringing untouched ‘swag and tradition’ to Jets … Mayo: Patriots performed comfortable, however he believes they are able to flip it round
The place has it long gone flawed for the Jets?
Stephen A. Smith, Kimberley A. Martin and Dan Orlovsky progress intensive at the Jets 2024 struggles.
1 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: ATL -2.5 (46.5 O/U)
Falcons storyline to look at: The Falcons’ greatest albatross remains to be their cross quicken, however in addition they haven’t been superb towards the run, particularly with ILBs Nate Landman (shoulder) and Troy Andersen (knee) each lacking week. Atlanta is twenty eighth within the league in run ban win charge (28.1%). In the meantime, the Buccaneers are 9th within the NFL in run ban win charge (73.1%), opening up holes for RBs Bucky Irving, Rachaad White and Sean Tucker, or what Falcons tutor Raheem Morris has known as a “three-headed monster.” — Marc Raimondi
Buccaneers storyline to look at: It’s a doomsday state of affairs for the Bucs. Tampa Bay is i’m sick its two celebrity large receivers Mike Evans (hamstring) and Chris Godwin (ankle), in what seems like a must-win match for the NFC South govern later losing a Pace 5 heartbreaker to Atlanta. QB Baker Mayfield and the field match desire a near-perfect struggle, moment the protection must shore up the center of the ground and scale down i’m sick on neglected tackles. — Jenna Laine
Stat to understand: The Falcons want to get started 4-0 or higher of their category for the 0.33 week since realignment in 2002. They went 4-0 in 2010 and 5-0 in 2015.
Daring prediction: Falcons RB Bijan Robinson will quicken for over 100 yards. No person makes use of extra outdoor zone runs than Atlanta (77%), and the Bucs are permitting 5.4 yards in line with lift to outdoor zone runs, the 0.33 maximum within the league. — Walder
Accidents: Falcons | Buccaneers
Fiction X issue: Buccaneers TE Cade Otton. He has the possible to fill one of the most void left by means of Godwin and Evans. In Pace 7 towards the Ravens, Otton accident season highs in goals (10), receptions (8), yards (100) and untruth issues (18.0). See Pace 8 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: 4 immediately Buccaneers video games have long gone over the entire. Learn extra.
Kahler’s pick out: Buccaneers 28, Falcons 21
Moody’s pick out: Falcons 31, Buccaneers 24
Walder’s pick out: Falcons 30, Buccaneers 16
FPI prediction: TB, 57.0% (by means of a mean of two.8 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Falcons’ Penix biding his week, finding out from Cousins … Buccaneers’ Godwin most likely out for 12 months, Evans till later bye … What’s subsequent for the Bucs later the lack of Godwin, Evans?
1 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: GB -3.5 (49.5 O/U)
Packers storyline to look at: QB Jordan Love has no longer not hidden a lot guy protection this season, dealing with it on 31% of his dropbacks — moment lowest within the league, consistent with ESPN Analysis. He has six touchdowns, 3 interceptions and a 62.3 General QBR towards guy. The Jaguars have worn guy protection on 52% in their opponent dropbacks, the 5th best within the league, and feature allowed an 87 QBR when in guy protection. — Rob Demovsky
Jaguars storyline to look at: QB Trevor Lawrence has been on a roll the day 3 weeks, finishing 74.2% of his passes over that span. Best Lions’ Jared Goff (80%) has been higher however in a single fewer match. One main explanation why: His off-target proportion is a league-best 6.8%. That has to proceed towards a Packers protection that leads the NFL in yields compelled (17). — Mike DiRocco
Stat to understand: Love is taking a look to secured Aaron Rodgers (2011) and Brett Favre (1994-95) as the one Inexperienced Bay quarterbacks with 10 immediately video games of a couple of passing touchdowns.
Daring prediction: The sport shall be connect some time within the fourth quarter. Quietly, Lawrence has crept as much as 7th in QBR. This Jacksonville crew isn’t that sinister. I feel the Packers will win. It is going to be much less comfy than many would possibly consider. — Walder
Accidents: Packers | Jaguars
Fiction X issue: Packers WR Jayden Reed. He had a disappointing Pace 7, striking up simply 3.0 untruth issues towards the Texans. However don’t let that functionality overshadow his fresh luck. Reed has posted 10 or extra untruth issues in 5 of his day six video games, together with two video games with over 27 issues. He’s all set as much as soar again towards a Jaguars protection that has allowed the fourth-most untruth issues to large receivers. See Pace 8 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Jaguars have been 0-3 ATS as house underdogs ultimate season, with all 3 video games going beneath the entire. That is their first match as a house underdog this 12 months. Learn extra.
Kahler’s pick out: Packers 30, Jaguars 17
Moody’s pick out: Packers 31, Jaguars 14
Walder’s pick out: Packers 30, Jaguars 27
FPI prediction: GB, 60.4% (by means of a mean of 6.2 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Does Packers’ Love have an interception defect? … Jaguars’ Thomas has emerged as a Negative. 1 WR
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: HOU -5 (45.5 O/U)
Colts storyline to look at: QB Anthony Richardson has had his struggles, however he has loved extra luck towards Houston than any alternative crew. In six quarters of motion towards the Texans, relationship again to ultimate season, Richardson is accountable for 5 general touchdowns (3 dashing and two passing). He has averaged 9.2 yards in line with cross try and 10.1 yards in line with quicken, and has a QBR of 90.1 in the ones video games. — Stephen Holder
Texans storyline to look at: Even supposing the Texans’ beat the Colts in Pace 1, tutor DeMeco Ryans is throwing what took place in that match “out the window.” He feels “so far removed” from the season opener and expects a distinct Colts crew. Indianapolis received 4 out of its day 5 video games however nonetheless possesses the Thirty first-ranked dashing protection (159.9 yards allowed in line with match), which performs into the Texans’ merit as a result of RB Joe Mixon averages 100 yards dashing in line with match. — DJ Bien-Aime
Stat to understand: The Texans have swept the Colts simplest as soon as in one season in franchise historical past (2016).
Daring prediction: Colts WR Alec Pierce could have a 40-plus-yard reception. All he does is administered deep. Negative large receiver is, on common, farther downfield than Pierce. Indianapolis will most likely need to tug some dangers to hold with Houston. — Walder
Accidents: Colts | Texans
Fiction X issue: Mixon. He has scored 25 or extra untruth issues in 3 video games. He now faces a Colts protection that permits probably the most dashing makes an attempt and the third-most dashing yards in line with match to working backs. See Pace 8 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Colts are 4-0 ATS as underdogs this season, moment the Texans have coated in 3 immediately video games. Learn extra.
Kahler’s pick out: Texans 28, Colts, 21
Moody’s pick out: Texans 34, Colts 17
Walder’s pick out: Texans 27, Colts 20
FPI prediction: HOU, 69.4% (by means of a mean of three.9 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Regardless of accidents, Colts letting QB Richardson run … Texans suffering to give protection to Stroud as hits begin to mount
Why Fulghum believes in Anthony Richardson vs. the Texans
Tyler Fulghum is taking the Colts to win at the street and preserve towards the Texans.
4:05 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: LAC -7 (40.5 O/U)
Saints storyline to look at: The Saints are getting wholesome once more. QB Derek Carr (indirect) is the one main participant to stay at the shock document, as TE Taysom Hill (rib), WR Chris Olave (concussion), LB Pete Werner (hamstring) and OLs Lucas Patrick and Cesar Ruiz returned to observe. Saints basic supervisor Mickey Loomis mentioned they’ve had an shock “avalanche” that the crew has to struggle via to get again to profitable. — Katherine Terrell
Chargers storyline to look at: The Chargers haven’t scored a landing in the second one part since Pace 1. They have been additionally held out of the tip zone of their Pace 7 loss to the Cardinals, that means they haven’t scored a landing since the second one quarter in their Pace 6 win over the Broncos. This matchup might be a chance to cure their offensive woes, because the Saints are permitting the sixth-most issues within the NFL (25.7). — Kris Rhim
Stat to understand: The Saints misplaced each and every in their day two video games by means of 20 or extra issues. Their simplest three-game streak of 20-point losses got here in Weeks 15-17 in 2001.
Daring prediction: Chargers RB J.Ok. Dobbins will run for 100-plus dashing yards. The Saints are permitting 4.9 anticipated yards in line with lift, consistent with NFL Nearest Gen Stats. That’s moment worst within the league, at the back of simplest Washington. — Walder
Accidents: Saints | Chargers
Fiction X issue: Chargers QB Justin Herbert. Los Angeles’ offense has a stunning alternative towards a Saints protection that ranks ultimate in general yards allowed. Age the Chargers may just incline on their working match, this matchup additionally units the level for Herbert to secured with receivers Ladd McConkey and Quentin Johnston. See Pace 8 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Saints have no longer closed as seven-point underdogs since Pace 12 of 2022 (plus-8.5 at 49ers). Learn extra.
Kahler’s pick out: Chargers 24, Saints 12
Moody’s pick out: Chargers 20, Saints 13
Walder’s pick out: Chargers 23, Saints 16
FPI prediction: LAC, 58.5% (by means of a mean of three.7 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Saints seal two-year extension with Kamara … Chargers vow to cure offense: ‘I nonetheless suppose we’re discovering our means’
4:05 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: BUF -3 (46.5 O/U)
Expenses storyline to look at: Scoring issues at the street hasn’t been a powerful level for the Expenses, who’re averaging 21 issues within the 4 video games clear of Orchard Ground, Untouched York, this season (2-2 in the ones video games). There shall be a chance to amend that towards a Seahawks protection that has allowed 23.4 issues in line with match (nineteenth) this 12 months. The offense shall be assisted by means of WR Amari Cooper taking part in in his moment match with the Expenses. — Alaina Getzenberg
Seahawks storyline to look at: Then permitting the fifth-most dashing yards in line with match (146.1) via Pace 7, the Seahawks are hoping their industry for LB Ernest Jones IV will aid one of the vital league’s worst run defenses. Jones, who’s sliding into the center linebacker spot in tutor Mike Macdonald’s protection, will face the Expenses for the second one life in a row. He recorded 5 tackles, a QB accident and a cross defensed for the Titans of their loss to Buffalo ultimate Sunday. — Brady Henderson
Stat to understand: If the Seahawks rating over 20 issues for the 8th immediately match, they’ll fasten the longest streak of achieving that mark to start out a season in franchise historical past (2020).
Are Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Tyler Lockett decent untruth starters with DK Metcalf’s shock?
Farmland Yates breaks i’m sick if Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Tyler Lockett can also be trait untruth choices with DK Metcalf shock.
Daring prediction: Expenses TE Dalton Kincaid will listing six or extra receptions. Seahawks CB Riq Woolen has a 9% goal charge allowed this season, in line with NFL Nearest Gen Stats, which must funnel goals clear of outdoor receivers. That might ruthless extra goals for Kincaid, who would additionally see some snaps towards Jones in his first match with the Seahawks. — Walder
Accidents: Expenses | Seahawks
Fiction X issue: Cooper. He used to be eased into motion in Pace 7, taking part in simply 35% of snaps. Cooper had 5 goals and completed with 16.6 untruth issues in spite of a restricted position. Cooper is usually a game-changer for the left-overs of the season and has WR1 doable catching passes from QB Josh Allen. See Pace 8 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Seahawks are 17-7 ATS as house underdogs since 2011, together with 4-3 ATS in QB Geno Smith begins. Learn extra.
Kahler’s pick out: Expenses 24, Seahawks 22
Moody’s pick out: Expenses 28, Seahawks 27
Walder’s pick out: Expenses 24, Seahawks 21
FPI prediction: BUF, 63.8% (by means of a mean of five.0 issues)
Matchup must-reads: WR Cooper stars in debut as Expenses roll at house … QB Smith’s mobility making up for Seattle’s O-line problems … Seahawks industry Baker, pick out for Titans’ Jones
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: DEN -10 (41.5 O/U)
Panthers storyline to look at: QB Bryce Younger returns to the launch lineup later being benched in Pace 3 as a result of Andy Dalton sprained his thumb in a automotive accident. How smartly Younger, 2-16 as a starter, plays may just decide his time with Carolina, but it surely received’t be simple towards the Broncos. OLB Jadeveon Clowney may also go back to the ground later lacking two weeks because of a shoulder shock. Defensively, the Panthers are getting more healthy, however force will stay a topic — Denver ranks first within the NFL in sacks allowed (9) and Carolina ranks Thirty first in sacks (seven). It is usually a tremendous age for rookie QB Bo Nix. — David Newton
Broncos storyline to look at: The Panthers rank at or close to the base of each main defensive division, and the Broncos rank at or close to the base of each main passing division. The too much has been the Broncos’ protection has lifted them to 4-3, their ideally suited mark later seven video games since they have been 5-2 in 2016. However with Younger launch, search for the Broncos to be competitive. Denver ranks moment within the league in sacks (28) and has the best cross quicken win charge as a crew (56.9%). — Jeff Legwold
Stat to understand: The Panthers want to keep away from back-to-back begins of 1-7 or worse for the primary week in franchise historical past, The ultimate crew to begin 1-7 or worse in consecutive seasons used to be the Jets (2019-20).
Daring prediction: The Panthers will fail to go into plus-territory within the first part. I’m sorry, however that is simply brutal for Younger. He’s coming off the bench to play games a Broncos protection that ranks first in EPA allowed in line with play games and moment in EPA allowed in line with dropback. This is usually a tough one. — Walder
Accidents: Panthers | Broncos
Fiction X issue: Nix. He has been at the arise, scoring 19 or extra untruth issues in 3 of his ultimate 5 video games moment finishing 61.9% of his passes. Nix could also be a twin blackmail, dashing for 47 or extra yards in 3 video games. The rookie must have luck towards a Panthers protection that permits 18.6 untruth issues in line with match to quarterbacks. See Pace 8 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: This could be Carolina’s twenty eighth immediately match as an underdog, which is the longest streak by means of any crew for the reason that 2012-14 Jaguars (46). Learn extra.
Kahler’s pick out: Broncos 30, Panthers 12
Moody’s pick out: Broncos 35, Panthers 10
Walder’s pick out: Broncos 23, Panthers 6
FPI prediction: DEN, 74.5% (by means of a mean of 10.0 issues)
Matchup must-reads: WR Cooper stars in debut as Expenses roll at house … Will Broncos keep dedicated to run later tremendous Pace 7? … Younger perceptible restricted paintings in Panthers’ blowout losses
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: KC -9.5 (41.5 O/U)
Chiefs storyline to look at: The Raiders bullied the Chiefs within the ultimate assembly between the groups ultimate season, permitting Kansas Town’s working backs 32 yards on 15 carries. With an in poor health receiving team and QB Patrick Mahomes having thrown extra interceptions (8) than TDs (six), the Chiefs should do higher at the field this week round. The Chiefs are averaging virtually 129 yards in line with match, their ideally suited in 12 seasons with Andy Reid as their tutor. — Adam Teicher
Raiders storyline to look at: Rookie TE Brock Bowers has been a decidedly silver lining in a dull cloud over the Raiders to this point. The Negative. 13 total pick out leads all tight leads to receptions (47) and yards (477). And he must be a number one goal for QB Gardner Minshew towards the Chiefs, who’re give up league-high single-game averages in receptions (7.2) and yards (83.5) to tight ends. — Paul Gutierrez
Stat to understand: Raiders DE Maxx Crosby has generated 36 QB pressures in his profession towards Mahomes, which is probably the most by means of any opposing defender towards the time Corridor of Famer.
Daring prediction: Chiefs WR DeAndre Hopkins will catch a landing cross. He may have a restricted position in his first life in Kansas Town, however I consider the Chiefs would like to importance him within the pink zone. Mahomes will believe Hopkins to come back i’m sick with a contested catch. — Walder
Accidents: Chiefs | Raiders
Fiction X issue: Chiefs RB Kareem Hunt. In a untruth soccer global the place Mahomes is averaging simply 13.8 untruth issues in line with match, Hunt must sparkle. The Chiefs are double-digit favorites, which implies a weighty workload for him. Hunt has had 24 or extra touches and scored no less than 18 untruth issues in two immediately video games. See Pace 8 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Raiders are 3-1 ATS at house towards the Chiefs since shifting to Las Vegas. Learn extra.
Kahler’s pick out: Chiefs 28, Raiders 14
Moody’s pick out: Chiefs 31, Raiders 14
Walder’s pick out: Chiefs 26, Raiders 16
FPI prediction: KC, 73.4% (by means of a mean of 10.0 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Is WR Hopkins the lacking Tremendous Bowl piece? … Rookie TE Bowers quietly having record-breaking 12 months
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: CHI -3 (43.5 O/U)
Bears storyline to look at: The Bears protection enters Pace 8 having allowed 21 issues or fewer in 12 immediately video games. Extending that streak shall be a problem towards Washington’s high-powered offense, which ranks 0.33 in issues in line with match (30.1) and fourth in yards (384.1). This would be the stiffest take a look at Chicago has confronted this season, in particular towards a top-three dashing assault (165.4 yards in line with match) led by means of RB Brian Robinson Jr.’s 4.7 yards in line with lift. For as dominant because the Bears had been defensively, their one disease is towards the run. The Commanders’ offense leads the NFL with 14 dashing touchdowns and could also be extra reliant at the field match if QB Jayden Daniels can’t play games. — Courtney Cronin
Commanders storyline to look at: Washington’s protection has slowly stepped forward and, within the day 4 weeks, the Commanders rank fourth in issues allowed in line with match (16) and 7th in yards in line with match (293). The one crew to harm them defensively — and beat them — right through this stretch used to be Baltimore. In the meantime, the Bears’ offense additionally has performed higher right through this similar stretch. Within the day 4 weeks, Chicago ranks 5th in scoring (31.7) and twelfth in yards received (353.7). Washington’s tackling used to be a lot better ultimate life as opposed to Carolina, as used to be its verbal exchange within the secondary to forbid tremendous performs. The utmost shall be notable on Sunday. — John Keim
Stat to understand: Commanders tutor Dan Quinn is looking for to begin 6-2 in his first season with a moment franchise later doing the similar with Atlanta in 2015. Best two alternative coaches have accomplished that within the ultimate 100 years (Jim Caldwell and Jon Gruden).
Daring prediction: The Bears will reserve Marcus Mariota (assuming he begins with Jayden Daniels unsure) to a QBR beneath 40. Chicago has had the most productive protection within the league in relation to EPA in line with dropback, with a shockingly robust cross quicken. — Walder
Accidents: Bears | Commanders
Fiction X issue: Bears WR DJ Moore. Moore has scored 10-plus untruth issues in 5 immediately video games, together with a 27.5-point functionality towards the Panthers in Pace 5. He has any other favorable matchup, at the side of QB Caleb Williams, towards a Commanders protection that’s permitting the eighth-most untruth issues to receivers. See Pace 8 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Commanders are 6-1 ATS this season, connect with the Colts for the most productive ATS listing within the NFL. Learn extra.
Kahler’s pick out: Bears 30, Commanders 24
Moody’s pick out: Commanders 27, Bears 24
Walder’s pick out: Bears 27, Commanders 19
FPI prediction: CHI, 50.2% (by means of a mean of 0.1 issues)
Matchup must-reads: QBs Williams, Daniels and the OROY race … QB Daniels’ condition unsure for Bears match … Commanders let fall former first-round pick out Davis
J.J. Watt lays out his Jayden Daniels MVP case to McAfee
J.J. Watt joins “The Pat McAfee Show” to give an explanation for how Commanders rookie QB Jayden Daniels might be the NFL MVP.
8:20 p.m. ET | NBC/Peacock | ESPN BET: SF -4 (45.5 O/U)
Cowboys storyline to look at: The stench from the 38-point loss to Detroit nonetheless lingers in spite of having the bye ultimate life. The Cowboys are within the playoff chase, however they don’t have just right fresh reminiscences in their journeys to Levi’s Stadium — two losses, together with 42-10 ultimate season. They’re 3-1 later the bye beneath tutor Mike McCarthy. Then a sinister loss and tumultuous bye life, they want this win badly. — Todd Archer
49ers storyline to look at: In 3 earlier conferences with Dallas, the 49ers have flummoxed Cowboys QB Dak Prescott. Prescott has a QBR of 41.6 in the ones video games, which is his worst mark towards any of the 16 groups he has performed no less than two instances over the day 5 seasons. The Niners have effectively compelled Prescott into yields, intercepting him six instances to only 3 landing passes. As at all times, the Niners will want to win the handover fight to win this match, because the Niners are 3-0 this season when profitable the handover fight and 0-4 when tying or shedding it. — Nick Wagoner
Stat to understand: The Cowboys had been outscored by means of 42 issues this season, which is the second-worst level differential via six video games by means of a crew .500 or higher within the ultimate decade.
Daring prediction: 49ers TE George Kittle data 80-plus receiving yards and a landing. He needs to be in wrinkle for extra goals with WRs Brandon Aiyuk out (knee) and Deebo Samuel Sr. (pneumonia) most likely absent too. Kittle has maintained his regularly above-average detectable rating that he at all times posts, with a 67 this 12 months. — Walder
Accidents: Cowboys | 49ers
Fiction X issue: 49ers WR Jauan Jennings. Be expecting Jennings to look extra goals with out Aiyuk. All of us keep in mind his monster 46.5-point functionality towards the Rams in Pace 3. Age Jennings won’t accident the ones numbers once more, he’ll nonetheless be a key participant within the 49ers’ passing match. See Pace 8 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: This would be the thirty fourth immediately regular-season match the 49ers are preferred in, which is the third-longest streak this century. Learn extra.
Kahler’s pick out: 49ers 28, Cowboys 16
Moody’s pick out: 49ers 30, Cowboys 24
Walder’s pick out: 49ers 27, Cowboys 20
FPI prediction: SF, 67.1% (by means of a mean of 6.5 issues)
Matchup must-reads: The place do Cowboys rise as they progress bye life? … Can 49ers face up to shock problems, keep away from ’20 repeat? … 49ers’ Aiyuk tears ACL, MCL
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ABC/ESPN | ESPN BET: PIT -6 (36.5 O/U)
Giants storyline to look at: The house/street break for QB Daniel Jones and the Giants’ offense is staggering this season. For some explanation why, they’re considerably extra fruitful at the street, which WR Darius Slayton turns out to suppose is a “coincidence.” Regardless of the reasoning, Jones has all six of his passing touchdowns at the street and all 4 of his interceptions at house. Most likely thankfully for the Giants, this match is in Pittsburgh. — Jordan Raanan
Steelers storyline to look at: Enjoying with their 5th aggregate of launch offensive linemen within the win towards the Jets, the Steelers handed their first take a look at towards a sack-happy entrance, and a fair more difficult problem emerges in QB Russell Wilson’s moment get started. The Giants govern the league with 31 sacks, and Dexter Lawrence II, whom tutor Mike Tomlin known as “a problem,” leads all cross rushers with 9 sacks. Wilson used to be sacked simply as soon as by means of the Jets, however the Giants will unquestionably progress later the veteran quarterback on Monday night time. — Brooke Pryor
Stat to understand: The Giants had 119 general yards of their loss to the Eagles, which is their fewest since their 1999 season opener at Tampa Bay.
Daring prediction: Steelers OLB Alex Highsmith will listing a couple of sacks. Highsmith could have the benefit of dealing with Giants’ alternative LT Joshua Ezeudu, who has posted a low 82% cross ban win charge this season. — Walder
Accidents: Giants | Steelers
Fiction X issue: Wilson. The quarterback had a standout functionality in Pace 7, racking up 24.8 untruth issues. Pittsburgh’s offense gave the impression extra balanced and efficient with him beneath middle. Wilson is i’m ready for extra luck towards the Giants’ protection, which permits a mean of 18.6 untruth issues in line with match to quarterbacks. See Pace 8 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Steelers are 0-9 ATS of their ultimate 9 video games when laying no less than 4 issues. Learn extra.
Kahler’s pick out: Steelers 21, Giants 14
Moody’s pick out: Steelers 24, Giants 13
Walder’s pick out: Steelers 19, Giants 16
FPI prediction: PIT, 69.1% (by means of a mean of seven.6 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Mara: Giants ‘dedicated’ to Daboll, Schoen in spite of 2-5 get started … How UDFA Bishop has been key for protection
