Three rematches of previous Super Bowls highlight the NFL’s Week 11 schedule. Jets vs. Colts saw Joe Namath memorably guarantee New York’s victory in Super Bowl III, and New York is a four-point home favorite in Week 11 NFL odds. Meanwhile, Rams vs. Patriots is a Super Bowl matchup that has happened twice before, with Tom Brady winning his first and last ring in New England in the process. However, the Rams are favored by 4.5 points in the latest NFL Week 11 spreads.
The other rematch is Falcons vs. Broncos (-2.5), the Super Bowl matchup in John Elway’s last game 25 years ago. What happened years or decades ago probably won’t influence your Week 11 NFL predictions, either directly or against the spread, but what factors from these teams’ recent performances could help you with your football betting? All of the updated Week 11 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting tips and NFL predictions you need to make the best NFL Picks of the Week 11 now.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 17-7 betting streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, he has a 197-136 streak on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season and a 51-29 streak on top-rated NFL picks dating back to Week 7 of 2022.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years in straight NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who follows sports betting and betting apps has made strong profits.
Now, you’ve turned your attention to the latest Week 11 NFL odds and NFL betting lines and set betting picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see each pick.
Top Week 11 NFL Predictions
We can tell you that one of the model’s strongest picks for NFL Week 11 is the Titans (+5.5, 39.5) covering the spread at home against the Vikings. Despite their lack of success this season, Tennessee owns the No. 1 total defense in the NFL, as well as the No. 1 passing defense. That makes this an unfriendly matchup for Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold, who has had the rug pulled out from under him in recent weeks. Darnold comes into this game with three turnovers in consecutive games, and those matchups were against Colts and Jaguars teams that rank 29th and 32nd, respectively, in total defense.
Darnold leads the NFL in both turnovers (13) and interceptions (10), while Will Levis showed noticeable progress on Sunday. After missing three games, Levis posted his career-high CMP% (78.26%) and his third-highest passer rating (127.4) as Tennessee went without a turnover for the first time this season. No turnover is not something the model predicts for Minnesota on Sunday, as it predicts two losses, which will allow Tennessee (+6.5) to cover almost 60% of the simulations. See what other equipment to choose here.
Another of his NFL Week 11 predictions: the Saints (-1, 44.5) cover at home against the Browns in almost 70% of simulations. New Orleans is coming off an underdog victory in interim coach Darren Rizzi’s debut, while Cleveland is coming off a bye. However, the extra rest hasn’t exactly benefited the Browns recently, as they are just 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games with a rest advantage. Meanwhile, the Saints showed off their new weapon in Sunday’s upset win over the Falcons with former Bills catcher Marquez Valdes-Scantling.
He had three receptions and they were all game-changers, as two of them were touchdown receptions and the other went for 67 yards. He provides that big-play element that New Orleans lost when Rashid Shaheed was injured, and avoiding the big play is a big problem for Cleveland. He allows 12.8 yards per completion, which is the second-highest mark in the NFL. New Orleans (-1.5) is projected to easily cover and win by at least one touchdown, while the model also says Over (44) hits the mark in nearly 60% of simulations. See what other equipment to choose here.
