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The New England Patriots (3-7) will look to build on their recent momentum when they take on the Los Angeles Rams (4-5) on Sunday afternoon. New England has pulled off a pair of surprising wins in the last three weeks, beating the Jets and Bears. The Patriots are still in last place in the AFC East, but they have something to build on under first-year head coach Jerod Mayo. Los Angeles is in 10th place in the NFC standings after its three-game winning streak was snapped in a 23-15 loss to Miami last week. The Rams haven’t faced the Patriots since posting a 24-3 win at home in 2020.
Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET Sunday at Gillette Stadium. The Rams are favored by 4.5 points in the latest Patriots vs. Rams, while the over/under is 43.5 points, according to the SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Rams vs. Patriots, you’ll want to check out the model’s NFL predictions at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 17-7 betting streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, he has a 197-136 streak on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season and a 51-29 streak on top-rated NFL picks dating back to Week 7 of 2022.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years in straight NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who follows sports betting and betting apps has made strong profits.
The model has set her sights on Los Angeles-New England. You can head over to SportsLine to see their picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for the game:
- Difference between Patriots and Rams: Rams -4.5
- Patriots vs. Rams plus/minus: 43.5 points
- Patriots vs. Money Line Rams: Rams -220, Patriots +180
- Patriots vs. Picks Rams: See the picks here
- Patriots vs. Rams: FuboTV (Try it for free)
Why the Patriots can cover
New England returns home for the first time since late October, when it earned a 25-22 victory over the Jets as a 7-point underdog. The Patriots were able to pull off that upset without rookie quarterback Drake Maye, who left with a concussion. Maye returned for an overtime loss to the Titans the following week and led the Patriots to a 19-3 victory over the Bears last week.
He completed 15 of 25 passes for 184 yards and a touchdown while rushing for 24 yards on four carries. Running back Rhamondre Stevenson added 74 rushing yards and New England’s defense held Chicago to just 142 total yards. The Patriots have covered the spread in six of the last eight meetings between these teams, winning six of the last seven meetings outright. See which team to choose here.
Why the Rams can cover
Los Angeles was able to restart its season with a bye in Week 6 after a 1-4 start to the season. The Rams reeled off three straight wins over the Raiders, Vikings and Seahawks to get back into the playoff conversation. That winning streak was snapped in a 23-15 loss to Miami on Monday, despite getting 293 passing yards from quarterback Matthew Stafford.
He has 2,262 passing yards and nine touchdowns this season, topping 275 passing yards in three consecutive games. Third-year running back Kyren Williams leads the rushing attack with 664 yards and eight touchdowns. Wide receivers Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua are healthy heading into this important matchup. See which team to choose here.
How to make picks between Patriots and Rams
The model has simulated Rams vs. Patriots 10,000 times and the results are in. The model leans downward and also generated a point spread pick that is right in over 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick on SportsLine.
