With Halloween proper across the nook, this turns out like the easiest hour at hand out dress concepts, in order that’s precisely what we’re moving to do earlier than we get to the selections this occasion.
When you’re a Giants fan, you must move as a bench, as a result of that’s the place Daniel Jones goes to spend the extra of the season if he doesn’t get started taking part in higher. When you’re a Dolphins fan, you must move as not anything since that’s what Miami has executed on offense this season with out Tua Tagovailoa.
The excellent news for the Dolphins is that it’s having a look like Tua goes to go back this occasion. So does that heartless I’ll be selecting Miami to win?
Let’s get to the sports activities having a bet selections for Future 8 and to find out.
NFL Future 8 selections
Minnesota (5-1) at L.A. Rams (2-4)
Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET (Amazon High)
Level unfold pick out: Rams (+3 at FanDuel)
On paper, the Vikings are without a doubt the simpler group on this sport, however nobody makes use of paper anymore, in order that truth approach not anything to me.
I simplest assist about developments, and there are two developments telling me to pick out the Rams to win this sport. First, groups gliding two hour zones or extra to the west for a Thursday sport virtually at all times lose. Because the go back of “Thursday Night Football” in 2006, this has came about a complete of 20 instances and the Central/Japanese hour zone group that flew west has long past 4-16 immediately up and 4-14-2 ATS (And two of the ones 4 wins had been by means of Aaron Rodgers past he was once going thru his MVP run with the Packers).
I do not know why groups are so wicked on this status, however I’ve some theories. Whilst you’re taking part in on a Thursday, you simplest have 72 hours to get well out of your Sunday sport, and three.5 of the ones hours are spent on a aircraft as a result of you need to fly HALFWAY around the nation. Whenever you get off the aircraft, you upcoming have to regulate to a fresh hour zone.
I reside within the Central hour zone and, just like the Vikings are about to do, I made a travel to California lately. All through that travel, I used to be able for mattress at 7:30 p.m. PT each night time and I do not know why. According to that, the Vikings can be getting sleepy across the 3rd quarter, in order that’s the hour we absolutely be expecting the Rams to start out taking up.
No longer simplest is it tricky to show round and play games on a Thursday, however the Vikings must do it next taking part in the Lions, which brings me to my 2d development. Negative group has received a sport this date the occasion next taking part in the Lions. It appears, the Lions are beating up on groups so badly that it makes it not possible to win please see occasion. It doesn’t subject whether or not a group wins or loses to the Lions, this development simplest comes to their nearest sport next going through Detroit.
Right here’s a take a look at the Lions’ fighters up to now in 2024:
Future 1: Rams (Misplaced 41-10 to Cardinals in Future 2)
Future 2: Buccaneers (Misplaced 26-7 to Broncos in Future 3 — Tampa Bay was once liked by means of 6)
Future 3: Cardinals (Misplaced 42-14 to Commanders in Future 4 — Arizona was once liked by means of 3.5)
Future 4: Seahawks (Misplaced 29-20 to Giants in Future 5 — Seattle was once liked by means of 7)
Future 5: BYE
Future 6: Cowboys (Were given a bye in Future 7, face the 49ers in Future 8)
Future 7: Vikings (Taking part in the Rams in Future 8)
That’s 4 groups that experience long past a blended 0-4 next going through the Lions, and 3 of the groups had been liked to win. Additionally, the 4 losses had been by means of a median of 21.8 issues in step with sport. At this level, I couldn’t even pick out the Vikings if I sought after to. And let’s no longer fail to remember, the Rams shall be getting Cooper Kupp again, which must lend a abundance spice up for the offense.
THE PICK: Rams 23-20 over Vikings
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Arizona (3-4) at Miami (2-4)
1 p.m. ET (Fox)
Level unfold pick out: Dolphins (-3 at DraftKings)
Tua Tagovailoa can be going back on apply this occasion and if he will get cleared from his concussion, he’ll be the starter on Sunday in opposition to Arizona. I as soon as dressed up as a physician for Halloween and in line with what I’ve learn on the net, that qualifies me to medically sunlit Tua, so Tua, you’re cleared.
Anyway, Tua hasn’t performed since Future 2 when he suffered a concussion in opposition to the Expenses, and because his shock, the Dolphins offense has executed precisely not anything. As a question of truth, within the 4 video games that Tua has neglected, the Dolphins scored simply 40 overall issues, which is good-looking wicked while you imagine that they scored 70 POINTS in one sport terminating season.
One explanation why the Dolphins’ offense has been so wicked is as a result of their additional QB status has been a emergency. Tyler Huntley has been the starter over the time 3 weeks and it’s no longer that he’s wicked quarterback, however they JUST SIGNED HIM on Sept. 17. He upcoming needed to construct his first get started on Sept. 30, and as you’ll almost certainly consider, that didn’t move smartly. In Future 4, the Dolphins misplaced to the Titans, who these days nonetheless simplest have win and that one win was once in opposition to Miami.
Huntley went unwell with a shoulder shock in Future 7, which intended the Dolphins needed to installed Tim Boyle. I’m no longer positive what you already know about Boyle, however he’s mainly the human mode of waving the white flag. If he’s in, that suggests his group is surrendering: Boyle’s group are 0-10 all hour in any sport the place he’s ever needed to throw a minimum of one go.
Come what may, that isn’t the worst report of all hour. That honor belongs to Zach Mettenberger, who watched his groups move 0-13 in video games the place he threw a minimum of one go.
The purpose to all of that is that if Tua performs, I believe excellent concerning the Dolphins’ probabilities of profitable, but when he doesn’t, it feels just like the Cardinals are moving to roll. Clearly, because the Dolphins are so wicked with out Tua, I’ll be making two selections for this sport.
THE PICK (IF TUA PLAYS): Dolphins 30-20 over Cardinals
THE PICK (IF TUA DOESN’T PLAY): Cardinals 27-17 over Dolphins
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Atlanta (4-3) at Tampa Bay (4-3)
1 p.m. ET (Fox)
Level unfold pick out: Falcons (-2.5 at BetMGM)
Those two groups performed again in Future 5 and I’ve watched that sport seven instances since upcoming and I nonetheless do not know how Atlanta received. The Falcons did their perfect to provide the sport away with a neglected farmland function and an interception within the ultimate seven mins, however they nonetheless controlled to win as a result of Kirk Cousins performed the most productive sport of his moment (he threw for 509 yards and 4 touchdowns).
This hour round, Cousins would possibly no longer must throw for 500 yards for the Falcons to win and that’s most commonly as a result of I don’t suppose this sport goes to turn out to be a shootout like the primary assembly did. If the Falcons get started piling up the issues, the Bucs most likely received’t have the ability to conserve up and that’s most commonly as a result of Baker Mayfield has nobody to throw to.
All through Tampa Bay’s sport on Monday night time in opposition to the Ravens, the Bucs misplaced Mike Evans and Chris Godwin to shock they usually virtually definitely received’t be taking part in this occasion. With the ones two out, the Buccaneers have precisely 0 gamers on their roster who’ve greater than 175 yards receiving this date. Mayfield could be throwing to himself on this sport.
The protection additionally has to determine a option to oppose Cousins, which I’m no longer positive goes to occur. Over the time 3 weeks, the Buccaneers have surrendered a minimum of 500 yards TWICE with the Falcons (Future 5) and Ravens (Future 8) each going over that quantity. The Buccaneers had one of the vital worst groups in NFL historical past in 1976 once they went 0-14. Neatly, you already know what that group by no means did? They by no means surrendered 500 yards to an opponent.
There’s simplest been one alternative season in Bucs historical past the place they surrendered 500 yards a minimum of two times, and that got here in 1985. That group went 2-14. Now that I’m studying this again to myself out boisterous, it’s begin to pitch like I’m dropping all religion in Tampa Bay.
Right here’s the upside for Sunday: If the Bucs can conserve Cousins off the farmland, they don’t have to fret about him going off, and they may be able to conserve him off the farmland by means of working the ball. Within the first assembly, the Bucs averaged an crazy 6.15 yards in step with scurry, and due to that luck, I received’t be stunned in the event that they run the ball much more in opposition to a Falcons protection that’s surrendering 137 yards in step with sport at the field. Additionally, without a Evans and deny Godwin, the Bucs are virtually moving to be compelled to run the ball.
It is a make-or-break sport for the Buccaneers: In the event that they lose, that suggests the Falcons could have swept them at the season, which is able to put Atlanta within the driving force’s seat for any tiebreakers that would possibly come into play games on the manage of the NFC South on the finish of the season. It is a sport the Bucs can’t find the money for to lose, however I believe they’re too banged as much as win it.
THE PICK: Falcons 27-20 over Buccaneers
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Buffalo (5-2) at Seattle (4-3)
4:05 p.m. ET (Fox)
Level unfold pick out: Seahawks (+3 at FanDuel)
I’m no longer positive the way it came about, however it kind of feels that Josh Allen has found out how not to throw interceptions. Allen is without doubt one of the perfect quarterbacks within the NFL, but when there was once one obese knock on him, it’s that he at all times turns out to throw a minimum of one back-breaking interception each few weeks. All through the 2023 season, Allen threw 18 interceptions, which was once the second one maximum within the NFL, at the back of simplest Sam Howell, who’s now not a founding QB within the NFL.
In 2022, Allen threw 14 interceptions, which was once secured for the 3rd maximum within the NFL. In 2021, Allen threw 15 interceptions, which was once additionally secured for the 3rd maximum within the NFL. I believe you almost certainly get my level by means of now. The rationale I’m bringing this all up is as a result of Allen has no longer thrown a unmarried interception this date.
Thru seven video games, Allen has ZERO interceptions, which isn’t simply the longest streak with out throwing a pick out in his profession, it’s additionally the longest streak in franchise historical past.
Sadly for Allen and the Expenses, I believe this streak goes to come back to a crashing lead to Seattle. Even supposing Allen has appeared like an MVP candidate in Buffalo’s house video games, he’s appeared like Daniel Jones when Buffalo performs at the street. He’s the Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde of NFL quarterbacks.
Right here’s a take a look at how he performs at house vs. at the street:
HOME (3-0): 272.7 passing yards in step with sport, 2.7 TD passes in step with sport
ROAD (2-2): 166.3 passing yards in step with sport, 1 TD go in step with sport
Allen had arguably the worst sport of his profession in Future 5 when he finished simply 9 of 30 passes for 131 yards in a loss to the Texans, and in information that received’t amaze someone, that one got here at the street. If this sport had been in Buffalo, I’d almost certainly pick out the Expenses by means of double digits, however because it’s in Seattle, I’m rolling with the Seahawks.
THE PICK: Seahawks 30-27 over Expenses
Dallas (3-3) at San Francisco (3-4)
8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)
Level unfold pick out: 49ers (-4.5 at FanDuel)
Thru seven weeks, it’s turn into good-looking sunlit that the Cowboys have one main flaw and that flaw is their protection. Having a significant flaw isn’t essentially a wicked factor. My main flaw is that I once in a while guard all of my spouse’s “Gilmore Girls” DVDs. To cure that flaw, I’ve destroyed the entire “Gilmore Girls” DVDs in my space, and simply to be guard, I’ve additionally destroyed the DVD participant. Sadly for the Cowboys, there’s deny simple cure for his or her condition.
Heading into Future 8, the Cowboys are surrendering 28 issues in step with sport, which is the second one maximum within the NFL. Simplest the Carolina Panthers are worse. The Panthers are 1-6 and no doubt the worst group in soccer. Whilst you’re discussed in the similar dialog as them, that’s without a doubt a pink flag.
One explanation why the Cowboys are give up such a lot of issues is as a result of they may be able to’t oppose the run. Thru their first six video games, the Cowboys are surrendering a median of 143.2 yards in step with sport, which makes them certainly one of simply six groups within the NFL that’s give up greater than 140.
The condition with this is that they’re about face a 49ers group that likes to run the ball. The 49ers are averaging 149.9 yards in step with sport at the field, which ranks within the manage six within the NFL. When you watched the 49ers in Future 7, you could have spotted that Brock Purdy threw 3 interceptions. To cure that condition, my supposition is that Kyle Shanahan goes to simplify the offense this occasion by means of calling extra run performs, as a result of calling extra run performs is precisely what you wish to have to do in opposition to a Cowboys protection that may’t oppose the run. Additionally, the 49ers simply misplaced Brandon Aiyuk to an ACL and MCL shock and Deebo Samuel may also pass over this sport, so working the ball would possibly in fact be their simplest possibility.
And in order that you already know, in case you’re founding to really feel like everybody at the 49ers’ roster is injured, you’re no longer unbalanced.
The Cowboys can be going through a 49ers group this is coping with all of THIS:
And but, I nonetheless don’t suppose Dallas goes so that you can rush this out.
Shanahan at all times appears to be one step forward of Mike McCarthy. The Cowboys and 49ers have confronted every alternative thrice over the time 34 months and the 49ers have received all 3 conferences with the Cowboys averaging simply 13 issues in step with sport. I’ll say they rating relatively greater than that this occasion, however no longer by means of a lot.
THE PICK: 49ers 24-16 over Cowboys
NFL Future 8 selections: The entire extra
Bengals 27-24 over Eagles
Lions 31-17 over Titans
Ravens 27-13 over Browns
Jets 23-16 over Patriots
Packers 31-23 over Jaguars
Texans 20-17 over Colts
Chargers 24-16 over Saints
Broncos 23-13 over Panthers
Chiefs 24-17 over Raiders
Commanders 27-23 over Bears (IF JAYDEN DANIELS PLAYS)
Bears 23-20 over Commanders (IF DANIELS DOESN’T PLAY)
Steelers 30-17 over Giants
Endmost Future
Perfect pick out: Endmost occasion, I predicted that the Chiefs would dissatisfied the 49ers at the street, and supposition what came about? The Chiefs dissatisfied the 49ers at the street. The Chiefs had been an underdog on this sport and I attempted to inform someone who would pay attention that Patrick Mahomes by no means loses as an underdog.
The quickest option to turning into a millionaire on this nation is to:
1. Watch for Mahomes to be an underdog
2. Guess the whole lot at the Chiefs
3. Benefit
When you’re questioning why I’m no longer a millionaire, it’s as a result of I’ve been taking the cash I’ve received at the Chiefs and having a bet it at the Jets.
Worst pick out: Talking of the Jets, if I’ve discovered something about myself over the time occasion, it’s that I’m addicted to selecting the Jets to win, which is unnecessary, as a result of they’re one of the vital worst groups within the NFL they usually at all times lose. As such, I’ve spent the time 36 hours at a BPA assembly (Wicked Pickers Nameless) looking to get this factor rectified and I believe we after all had a step forward. It appears, my condition is that since I picked the Jets to move to the AFC identify sport this date (LOL), I’ve been selecting them to win video games out of embarassment and guilt every occasion in a determined hope to conserve my preseason pick out alive. That’s no longer how moment works, even though.
Let’s take a look at how the time two weeks have long past:
- I picked the Jets to overcome the Expenses in Future 6. They misplaced.
- I picked the Jets to overcome the Steelers in Future 7. They misplaced.
I’ve long past 22-7 over the time two weeks: 0-2 selecting the Jets and 22-5 selecting everybody else. The sorrowful phase is that I’ve it sounds as if discovered not anything as a result of I’m begrudgingly selecting them to overcome the Patriots in Future 8. And now that I’ve executed that, there’s a 90% anticipation they’re moving to lose and when that occurs, I do not know how I’m going to give an explanation for to my BPA sponsor why I picked them to win once more.
In spite of everything, in case you guys have ever questioned which groups I’m in fact excellent at selecting, I’m going to start out sharing that knowledge with you presently that we’re 8 weeks into the season. Right here’s a snappy take a look at my perfect and worst groups in relation to selections this date.
My perfect selections report by means of group (Directly up): Titans (5-1), Browns (5-2), Expenses (5-2), Texans (5-2), Jaguars (5-2), Raiders (5-2), Saints (5-2), Panthers (5-2), Chiefs (4-2), Dolphins (4-2)
My worst selections report by means of group (Directly up): Steelers (2-5), Rams (2-4), 49ers (2-4), Vikings (2-4)
Each alternative group is someplace within the center.
Choices report
Directly up in Future 7: 10-5
SU general: 58-49
Towards the unfold in Future 7: 7-8
ATS general: 48-56-3
