Liz Loza and I were absolutely in the Halloween spirit with our extreme prop life, handing out more treats than tips! We made five of our six fixtures, with Davante Adams being the team’s only outlier.
Now I’ve been told what many lifelong unused York Jets lovers have known since birth: never think about the Jets. I have learned my lesson and may stay away for the rest of the season.
However, Jets fixtures Liz and I are doing our best to recreate our Date 8 warm-up as we begin to thank you for all the kindness of placing a bet on our doorstep here on Date 9.
So, without further ado, let’s dive into the accessories that stand out from the Date 9! — Daniel Dopp
All probabilities from the rhythm of the bulletin. For intact odds, talk to ESPN BET.
Quarterback Accessories
Where does Baker Mayfield fit into the myth of a great Date 8?
Liz Loza breaks down unwell where she would place Baker Mayfield among the legendary quarterbacks on Date 9 vs. the Chiefs.
Baker Mayfield OVER 34.5 move attempts (-120), OVER 224.5 passing yards (-155)
Crockery: Opposing offenses are throwing at the Bucs at a cruel rate of 37 move attempts per tournament (second most in the NFL). It’s been a tone strategy, as Tampa Bay’s secondary has given up the third-most passing yards in the league (2,191). Consequently, Mayfield has been forced to finish and is averaging 35.5 move attempts per game (QB2).
There was major concern that Mayfield’s numbers would drop with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin absent from the lineup on Date 8. When the Bucs finally fell to the Atlanta Falcons, Mayfield completed 37 of fifty move attempts for 330 yards. and 3 extreme Sunday ratings. It was Mayfield’s 0.33 snap game for over 300 passing yards.
In this round he will face a Kansas Town Chiefs defense that is much stingier against the run than against the play. Truth be told, despite their propensity to blitz, Kansas Town has recorded a disappointing 15 sacks (and the seventh-fewest) so far in 2024. As road underdogs by 8.5 points, Mayfield and the Bucs must put the ball on the field. wind to hit aggressive. As such, I will rush into your passes at full pace.
Operating accessories again
Mike Clay: Alvin Kamara belongs in control of RB vs. ratings Panthers
Daniel Dopp, Grassland Yates and Mike Clay talk about why they have Alvin Kamara as RB1 heading into their Round 9 matchup against the Panthers.
David 1st Viscount Montgomery of Alamein anytime TD (-115)
Dopp: Let’s replace the extreme life support with some impeccable numbers for this Date 9 matchup against the Green Bay Packers. First, it looks like there will be some weather in this tournament, and if we have hail, we generally have a limited passing attack, which could create more opportunities for Knuckles to do what he does best. Second, then scoring a ton of touchdowns, Monty has now scored in six of seven games this season and is 0.33 among RBs with seven rushing touchdowns. He also dominates the shooting range, making 10 quick attempts for five touchdowns when in the 5-yard box this season. His 10 attempts rank fourth behind Derrick Henry (12), Jonathan Taylor (11) and Kyren Williams (11). He’s locked in as one of the top goal-line rushers operating behind this tough offensive sector of the Detroit Lions.
From a defensive standpoint, the Packers have allowed six touchdowns to RBs so far this year, including one to the aforementioned Williams in Game 5. However, they have looked pretty stiff in the streak so far. Tough defenses haven’t bogged down Detroit in the slightest, with the Lions scoring 42, 47, 31 and 52 points in their last four games, respectively. With that more or less offensive firepower, you can expect Monty to take at least a couple of hits in the target area.
De’Von Achane OVER 88.5 yards rushing + receiving (-118)
Dopp: The splits with and without Tua Tagovailoa as their prep quarterback seem wild. In four games without Tua starting, Achane has 189 yards from scrimmage and 0 TDs. In his three games with Tua, Achane has 412 yards from scrimmage and three TDs. As I mentioned, handsome savage!
Achane’s power comes from defenses having to admire the passing game, with players like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle stretching the outfield and preserving safeties instead of crawling into the box and stacking the field. In fact, Achane has at least 100 yards from scrimmage and a touchdown in every game Tua has started so far this year. We like that, since we’ll have Tua front and center again here on Date 9.
But that’s not the only thing we like, as we also love this matchup against the Buffalo Bills, who have allowed the sixth-most yards per effort so far this season (4.8) and allowed 4. Other operating running backs They reached this mark this year, and three of those runners surpassed 165 yards from scrimmage. That is no longer a typo. The Expenses have allowed Derrick Henry (209 yards), Breece Hall (169 yards) and Achane (165 overall yards in Game 2) to dominate them in more ways than one this year. And while it’s not up to sports betting, Dare Ogunbowale, Travis Etienne Jr. and James Conner were all within 6 yards of this area this season.
None of those runners have the home run ability that Achane has to break a long one, and that’s part of what we expect: elite running power and utilization of the passing game, something Achane has had when Tua plays. .
Rhamondre Stevenson OVER 49.5 Rushing Yards (-145), Anytime TDs (+115)
Crockery: When the Patriots get aggressive, Stevenson can put it together, as evidenced by his two-touchdown score against the Jets on Game 8. Admittedly, the 26-year-old has been inefficient, averaging less than 3.0 yards percentage. increase in consecutive video games. On the other hand, when the sports script leans into its partial, the quantity has compensated for the sins of the steps in vain. The Patriots began life as 3.5-point road underdogs at Tennessee, suggesting a pretty similar game against a 1-6 team that has lost three in a row.
Additionally, the Titans traded away some of the team’s most impactful defensive players, sending Ernest Jones to Seattle in exchange for Jerome Baker. With Jones out of the lineup, Tennessee was steamrolled by Detroit’s fast-paced attack, giving up 164 rushing yards and roughly 7.0 YPC. Assuming Stevenson records 14 totals (he’s averaging 14.9 carries and 4.1 YPC on the season), he figures to close out 60 rushing yards in an exploitable matchup.
Alvin Kamara OVER 100 yards rushing + receiving and TD at any time (+105)
Dopp: Kamara faces this Carolina Panthers life.
I tried to make that the end of my research, but my editors confided in me that I needed to be a lot more thorough. Still, I’m not sure why anymore. If you’ve watched football, or listened to football, and even thought about football in the slightest, you’ll have discovered that the Panthers’ defense isn’t great. To be fair, it’s worse than not being great.
Five other runners have topped this line, including Kamara earlier this season. And regardless of whether it depends on your point of view, the Panthers also gave up 170 yards from scrimmage to the combination of Chase Brown and Zack Moss. Why do I point that out? Because that’s a backfield that splits touches, while the Saints rely ONLY on Kamara to keep up with the ball. Kamara has 161 touches, and the closest RB has 36 touches. It’s clear this is a one-back room, so Kamara will have to step up to get enough touches, with the added pleasure of having Derek Carr likely back at the heart of the unused Orleans Saints.
Alvin will have to put up yards in spades and will have to find a way to pay dirt just as smartly, given the Panthers’ inability to ban RBs. So far this year, Carolina has allowed 15 TDs to the running back position, more than any other team in the NFL.
Wide receiver support
Is Courtland Sutton’s Virtue a Look at Myth?
“Liz Loza highlights Courtland Sutton’s closest mythical matchup against the Ravens”.
Courtland Sutton OVER 49.5 receiving yards (-115)
Crockery: It’s been an up-and-down season for Sutton. Right now, on the other hand, it is on the rise. Bo Nix’s games have taken a step forward and the matchups were positive for the veteran receiver. Sutton has recorded at least 50 yards receiving in four of his current six games and is coming off his first 100-yard receiving goal, which he converted a remarkable eight of eleven appearances.
I wouldn’t bet on Sutton posting triple-digit yards again this Sunday, but with the Denver Broncos chasing trouble in Baltimore (-9.5), it’s fair to expect a good variety of opportunities for Denver’s Deny. 1 WR. Sutton will have to convert those images as well, as the Ravens are allowing 67.2% total participation. Additionally, Baltimore’s secondary has given up the most receiving yards in the league, a whopping 2,493 (an average of 311 per game).
