Eagles vs. Eagles Odds, Prediction, Distribution and Time Commanders: Thursday Night Football picks based on the NFL’s 17-7 model

First place in the NFC East will be on the line when the Washington Commanders take on the Philadelphia Eagles in a key matchup on Thursday night. Washington is coming off a 28-27 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers, while Philadelphia defeated the Dallas Cowboys, 34-6, last Sunday. The Commanders (7-3), who have won three of their last four games, are 5-1 against NFC opponents. The Eagles (7-2), who have won five in a row, are 4-2 against the NFC.

Kickoff from Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. The Eagles are 3.5-point favorites in the latest Eagles vs. Commanders via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 48.5. The Eagles are -189 moneyline favorites (risking $189 to win $100), while the Commanders are +158 underdogs (risking $100 to win $158). Before making any choices between the Commanders and Eagles, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 17-7 betting streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, he has a 197-136 streak on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season and a 51-29 streak on top-rated NFL picks dating back to Week 7 of 2022.

The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years in straight NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who follows sports betting and betting apps has made strong profits.

Now, the model has set its sights on Commanders vs. Eagles and just set their NFL picks and predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to check out the model picks. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for Eagles vs. Commanders:

  • Difference between Eagles and Commanders: Philadelphia -3.5
  • Eagles vs. Commanders plus/minus: 48.5 points
  • Eagles vs Commanders money line: Washington +158, Philadelphia -189
  • WAS: Commanders are 7-2-1 against the spread in their last 10 games
  • PHI: Eagles are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games
  • Eagles vs. Picks Commanders: See the picks at SportsLine

Why you should root for the Eagles

Quarterback Jalen Hurts drives Philadelphia’s offense. In nine games, he has completed 164 of 235 passes (69.8%) for 1,976 yards with 12 touchdowns and a rating of 103.4. He also rushed 93 times for 378 yards (4.1 average) and 10 touchdowns. He has four explosive plays of 20 or more yards, including a long one of 24. In last Sunday’s win over the Cowboys, he completed 14 of 20 passes (70%) for 202 yards and two touchdowns, and ran seven times for 56 yards and two scores.

Running back Saquon Barkley should surpass 1,000 rushing yards during the season on TNF. He enters the game with 171 carries for 991 yards (5.8 average) and six touchdowns. He has eight explosive plays of 20 or more yards, including a long one of 65. He also has 21 receptions for 158 yards (7.5 average) and two touchdowns. He has five games of 100 or more yards. See which team to choose here.

Why you should support commanders

Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels is off to a solid start to his pro career, leading the team in both rushing and passing. The second pick in the 2024 NFL Draft has played in all 10 games, completing 180 of 262 passes (68.7%) for 2,147 yards and nine touchdowns. He has been eliminated twice and has a rating of 101.7. He has also carried 85 times for 464 yards (5.5 average) and four touchdowns. He has three explosive runs of 20 or more yards, including a long one of 46.

Their main target on offense is wide receiver Terry McLaurin. In 10 games, he has 47 receptions for 711 yards (15.1 average) and six touchdowns. He has nine big plays, including a 66-yard long, with 170 yards after the catch and 35 first down conversions. In last Sunday’s loss to the Steelers, he caught five passes for 113 yards (22.6 average). See which team to choose here.

How to make Commanders vs. Eagles

SportsLine’s model is leaning over the total, projecting 55 total points. It has also generated a pick against the spread that cashes in over 50% of simulations. You can only get the NFL model picks at SportsLine.

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