Texans vs. Odds, Line, Spread and Time Chiefs: 2024 Week 16 Saturday picks, prediction by NFL model with 27-11 streak



The Kansas City Chiefs (13-1) and Houston Texans (9-5) will meet in an AFC battle on Saturday during the NFL’s Week 16 schedule. The Chiefs are fighting to earn the No. 1 seed in the AFC playoff standings. They have won four straight games, defeating the Cleveland Browns, 21-7, last week. The Texans have won two in a row. Last week, Houston beat the Miami Dolphins, 20-12. The Chiefs are first in the AFC, with Houston in fourth place. Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes (ankle) participated fully in practice all week and does not have an injury designation for this matchup.

Kickoff from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. After opening at -4, Kansas City is now a 3.5-point favorite in the latest Texans vs. Chiefs from the SportsLine Consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 42, 2.5 points less than in the first game. Before locking in any Chiefs vs. Texans, be sure to check out SportsLine’s NFL predictions and projection model betting tips, as well as everything else SportsLine has to help you crush your Week 16 picks.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 16 of the 2024 NFL season with an incredible 27-11 betting streak on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, he has a 207-139 streak on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season and a 61-32 streak on top-rated NFL picks dating back to Week 7 of 2022.

The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years in straight NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who follows sports betting and betting apps has made strong profits.

Now, the model has simulated Texans vs. Chiefs 10,000 times and just revealed his coveted NFL picks and NFL betting predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to check out model picks. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for Texans vs. Chiefs:

  • Difference between Texans and Chiefs: Kansas City -3.5
  • Texans vs. Chiefs plus/minus: 42 points
  • Texans-Chiefs moneyline: Kansas City -186, Houston +156
  • HOU: Texans are 6-6-2 against the spread this season
  • KC: Chiefs are 6-8 against the spread this season
  • Texans vs. Picks Chiefs: See the picks at SportsLine
  • Texans vs. Chiefs: FuboTV (Try Free)

Why the Chiefs can cover

Mahomes puts his team in the best position to win games and score points. This season, he ranks ninth in the league in passing yards (3,348) and passing touchdowns (22) with a QBR of 64.6. Mahomes has thrown multiple touchdown passes in seven games this season.

Receiver Xavier Worthy has finished with at least 40 receiving yards in five consecutive games. Last week, he had 46 receiving yards, 30 rushing yards and a score. Tight end Travis Kelce has a knack for making big catches in tough situations. This season, Kelce has 84 receptions, 709 receiving yards and two touchdowns. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Texans can cover

Running back Joe Mixon has been a consistent playmaker for this team. The Oklahoma product ranks 12th in the NFL in rushing yards (910) and is tied for seventh in rushing touchdowns (11). He has also totaled 277 yards receiving. The 28-year-old has compiled seven games with over 100 rushing yards.

Receiver Nico Collins finds a way to attack the field at all three levels with ease. Collins leads the team in receiving yards (849) and touchdowns (6) despite missing five games. The Michigan product has 12 receptions of 20-plus yards. He scored two touchdowns in the win over the Dolphins last week. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make picks between Texans and Chiefs

The model leans over the point total and also says that one side of the spread cashes out in over 50% of the simulations. You can head over to SportsLine to see model picks.

So who wins Chiefs vs. Texans in Week 16 on Saturday, and which side of the spread wins more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which Chiefs vs. Texans stretch back, all from the model that has returned more than $7,000 in top-rated NFL picks.





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