The chief training carousel came to its weekend when the New Orleans Saints agreed to deal with Kellen Moore to take the franchise to the future. Moore filled the last seven openings in this cycle, and now the 32 teams have a chief coach installed while embarking in the low season. That presents us with the opportunity to glimpse the initial race of the next race of the coach of the year by 2025.
Next, we will advance because of the probabilities that each coach in the League win the prize in the Honors of the NFL next year, and we will present our first elections, including a value play and a long shot bet that is worth considering.
2025 Odds Coach of the Year
NFL probabilities through Draftkings Sportsbook.
2025 NFL Lookhead season: commanders among five teams to see; Key story of QB Shuffle
Tyler Sullivan

The choice: Mike Vratabel (+850)
The NFL has recently avoided awarding this award to chief coaches who exceeded expectations in their first seasons with their new clubs, with Kevin Stefanski (Browns) and Kevin O’Connell (Vikings) winning the last two years. Before that, however, four of the six winners claimed the prize after the year 1 in their new situation. We could see a return to that standard in 2025 with four of the five coaches with the highest probabilities that were hired this low season.
Of that group, Vrabel is the most fascinating candidate and our election here. He is not a rookie coach as the favorite of Ben Johnson bets in Chicago, and was widely seen as one of the best coaches in the League game during his mandate in Tennessee. Vratabel also won this award in 2021, but voters have not shown that it is a great increase in speed in their attempts to win again, since Stefanski won for the second time in his career only two years ago.
Now, Vrababel leads a team of the Patriots that has increased the second -year field marshal Drake Maye solidified as QB1 and entered the low season armed with the largest amount of capitalization space in the league along with the general selection No. 4 In the NFL draft. That should provide wide opportunities to renew the list around Maye and compete for a place in the playoffs, assuming that they will hit their players’ acquisitions.
Nor is it more than Vrababe in front of the third time easier in the NFL next season based on the total percentage of victories of their 2024 opponents.
Value selection: Kyle Shanahan (+2200)
It is quite shocking that Shanahan has not yet won this award in his career, but that is reality. The 2024 campaign was forgetful for his San Francisco team, since the 49ers stood out for the injuries that helped derail their season and ended with a record of 6-11. However, if you enter the next season with a clean health list, it is still a highly talented team that was playing in the Super Bowl or NFC championship in each of the previous three years.
Of course, there is work to do in the list this season with the imminent extension of the Brock Purdy contract and Debo Samuel is possibly marketed, along with free agency and draft. That said, the pieces of a team that has made deep playoff races are still in place. Since the nikes now have the easiest force of schedule in the league next year, there is a possible path to seed number 1, which would almost surely put Shanahan among the favorites of the bets, if it is not the absolute favorite.
The long shot choice: Demeco Ryans (+2500)
The Houston Texans had reflection seasons in the last two years, winning the AFC South and advancing to the divisional round. However, the 2024 season was much more difficult for the organization, particularly in the offensive, which led to the dismissal of the offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik at the end of the year. With Ryans installing Nick Caley as OC after ascending in training ranks with the Patriots (Bill Belichick) and Rams (Sean McVay), the unit should see an impulse in 2025.
While CJ Stoud had a negative year according to its standards in its second season, I expect a recovery of this next season, which establishes the Texans for rivals again for the crown of the division. With a calendar that is located in the lower half of the League in force, they could gather enough victories that find them at play for the best seed at the conference, especially if the AFC West and AFC North clubs are hitting during the next season. That would establish the narrative very well for the Ryans to win traction for the prize.