The two-time defending champion Kansas City Chiefs will try to reach their fifth Super Bowl in the last six years when they battle the Buffalo Bills in the 2025 AFC Championship Game on Sunday. It will be the seventh consecutive year they have reached the AFC title game. The Bills (13-4), who are coming off a 27-25 victory over the Baltimore Ravens in the divisional round, are 5-4 on the road this season. The Chiefs (15-2), who defeated the Houston Texans 23-14 on Saturday, are 9-0 at home. The latest Chiefs vs. Bills is calling for mostly cloudy skies, light winds and temperatures around 30. Bills Taylor Rapp (Hip/Back) has been ruled out for safety.
Kickoff for Geha Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri is scheduled for 6:30 pm ET on CBS and Paramount+. Kansas City is a two-point favorite in the latest Bills vs. Sportsline’s consensus Chiefs while over/under points scored is 48.5. Kansas City is a -129 moneyline favorite (risk $129 to win $100) after opening at -125, while Buffalo is a +106 underdog (risk $100 to win $106) after opening at +105. Before making any Bills vs. Chiefs, NFL bets or NFL playoff predictions, be sure to check out what Sportsline NFL expert Mike Tierney has to say, considering his mastery of picks involving the bills.
A veteran sportswriter whose work appears regularly in the New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Tierney has covered the NFL for decades and has reported on seven Super Bowls. Tierney is 154-124-9 in the NFL over the last two seasons, returning $1,586 to $100 players. Additionally, he is an incredible 47-30-4 in his last 81 betting picks on games involving the Buffalo Bills, returning a whopping $1,435. Anyone who has followed him at sportsbooks and sports betting apps could be way up there.
In addition to Tierney’s picks for this game, you can get AI props, Vegas expert picks, DFS optimizer lineups, and everything else you need to crush your AFC championship game football bets. Go to Sportsline now to see it all.
Now, Tierney has focused on Bills vs. Chiefs. You can head over to Sportsline to see their picks. Here are the NFL odds and NFL betting lines for Chiefs vs. Bills:
- Bills vs. Chiefs Spreads: Kansas City -2
- Bills vs. Chiefs Over/Under: 48.5 points
- Bills vs. Chiefs Money Line: Buffalo +106, Kansas City -129
- BUF: Bills are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games
- KC: Chiefs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games
- Bills vs. Chiefs Picks: View Picks on Sportsline
- Bills vs. Chiefs Streaming: Paramount+ (Try Free)
Top Bills vs. Chiefs Predictions
For Bills vs. Chiefs in AFC championship game, Tierney bows under total. The Under has struck in seven of Kansas City’s last 10 games and in two of the last four head-to-head meetings with Buffalo. The Chiefs had the ninth-best defense during the regular season, allowing 320.6 total yards per game, and were the fourth-best scoring defense, allowing just 19.2 points per game. Buffalo allowed the most 17 yards at 341.5 and tied with Seattle for the 11th most points allowed at 21.6.
The Chiefs have allowed 20 or fewer points in seven of the last eight games. Offensively, Patrick Mahomes was efficient in the win over the Texans, completing 16 of 25 passes (64%) for 177 yards and a touchdown and a rating of 98.3. Kansas City’s rushing attack managed just 50 yards, and was led by senior Kareem Hunt with just eight carries for 44 yards and a score. The team was led by tight end Travis Kelce’s seven catches for 117 yards and a touchdown.
The Bills defense has also been solid. In the team’s last eight wins, including the postseason, they have allowed 20 or fewer points six times, including just seven in the 31-7 Wild Card Round victory over the Denver Broncos. In the first meeting with the Chiefs, Buffalo allowed just 259 total yards in a 30-21 victory on November 17. In Sunday’s win over the Ravens, Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen completed 16 of 22 passes for 127 yards, while rushing 10 times for 20 yards and two touchdowns. See which side to choose here.
How to make Chiefs vs. Bills Picks
Tierney has analyzed Bills vs. Chiefs from every possible angle and while we can tell you he’s leaning under the point total, he’s also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping on one side of the spread. Head over to Sportsline to see what it is and find out which team to return.
Who wins Bills vs. Chiefs on Sunday, and what critical X factor makes one side of the spread hit hard? Visit Sportsline now to see which Bills side vs. Chiefs spread, must jump, all from the expert who is 47-30 on picks involving the bills and don’t forget to unlock AI props, Vegas Expert picks, DFS optimizer lineups and all other tools to crush your picks in Sportsline.
